World Cup 2026 Today · Live

Predictions › Netherlands vs Japan

Netherlands vs Japan Prediction

Group F · Sunday, June 14 · 4:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium, Dallas · TV: FOX (English), Peacock (Spanish)

Our prediction

Model win probability

47% Netherlands 27% Draw 26% Japan

Both sides open their Group F campaign here, so there is no tournament form to separate them yet. Expect a cagey opening: teams that avoid defeat on matchday one advance from their group about four times out of five historically.

Win probabilities from our Elo-based Monte Carlo model (methodology). Editorial preview, not betting advice.

Where they stand

Netherlands are yet to play in Group F. Japan are also yet to play. Top two qualify directly for the Round of 32; third can advance among the eight best thirds.

Group F

TeamPWDLGDPts
1 🇯🇵Japan 000 00 0
2 🇳🇱Netherlands 000 00 0
3 🇸🇪Sweden 000 00 0
4 🇹🇳Tunisia 000 00 0

Match info

Kickoff: Sunday, June 14, 4:00 PM ET (US Eastern)
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Dallas
TV (US): FOX in English, Peacock in Spanish. All streaming options

Netherlands schedule · Japan schedule · Bracket