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USA vs Australia Prediction

Group D · Friday, June 19 · 3:00 PM ET · Lumen Field, Seattle · TV: FOX (English), Peacock (Spanish)

Our prediction

Model win probability

51% USA 26% Draw 23% Australia

Both sides open their Group D campaign here, so there is no tournament form to separate them yet. Expect a cagey opening: teams that avoid defeat on matchday one advance from their group about four times out of five historically.

Win probabilities from our Elo-based Monte Carlo model (methodology). Editorial preview, not betting advice.

Where they stand

USA are yet to play in Group D. Australia are also yet to play. Top two qualify directly for the Round of 32; third can advance among the eight best thirds.

Group D

TeamPWDLGDPts
1 🇦🇺Australia 000 00 0
2 🇵🇾Paraguay 000 00 0
3 🇹🇷Türkiye 000 00 0
4 🇺🇸USA 000 00 0

Match info

Kickoff: Friday, June 19, 3:00 PM ET (US Eastern)
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle
TV (US): FOX in English, Peacock in Spanish. All streaming options

USA schedule · Australia schedule · Bracket